ForetellerForeteller
6F
6f8K…aBezrank #77
sports
score
53
Follow
+57%
ROI · 7d
$5
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
+8.5¢
Edge, worst case
-31.9¢
Closing line value
+8.0¢
size-weighted edge +15.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$5
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+102% · +$4
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$7143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$0.71148h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$2148h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$1174h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.63$1174h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$3233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$3237h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$2245h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$1245h

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