ForetellerForeteller
6T
6tgV…Aa1k
sports
score
47
Follow
-5%
ROI · 7d
-$826
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
+10.7¢
Edge, worst case
-24.3¢
Closing line value
+10.7¢
size-weighted edge +31.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$826
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
NOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)
+47% · +$5.1k
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$5.9k147h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$15.9k238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.68$1.8k241h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.68$99246h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.68$1.6k246h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.68$146263h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$103263h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.68$3.1k264h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.68$4.0k264h

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