ForetellerForeteller
72
72bM…qNQ1rank #1093
cryptosports
score
29
Follow
-69%
ROI · 7d
-$218
Profit · 7d
24
Markets
Performance · 7d24 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time20 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
-3.9¢
Edge, worst case
-19.1¢
Closing line value
-5.7¢
crypto 2 · 20 callssize-weighted edge -2.9¢sizing discipline +0.03

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$0.07
crypto
-$218
Current streak
5 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+105% · +$10
Recent activity
soldFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.59+$5189h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired190h
boughtBTC Up@0.54$9190h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired190h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$8190h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$5190h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4190h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired190h
boughtBTC Up@0.06$4190h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired191h

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