ForetellerForeteller
73
731Q…GFVarank #77
sportscrypto
score
53
Follow
+15%
ROI · 7d
$125
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$117 @ 0.70
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-9.2¢
Edge, worst case
-38.2¢
Closing line value
-9.5¢
sports 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -5.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$128
crypto
-$3
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
NOR wins WC26
+625% · +$280
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$139143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$69154h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.63$277203h
soldNOR wins WC26@0.50+$325215h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.40$50249h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$183264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$140274h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$312287h

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