ForetellerForeteller
7E
7ERQ…qgZjrank #874
sportsothercrypto
score
42
Follow
+20%
ROI · 7d
$5
Profit · 7d
9
Markets
Performance · 7d9 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$5 @ 0.48
Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-27.7¢
Edge, worst case
-36.5¢
Closing line value
-26.9¢
size-weighted edge -32.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$5
crypto
-$0.19
other
-$0.46
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
Karolina Muchova wins WW26
+102% · +$11
Recent activity
boughtARG wins WC26@0.43$0.37142h
redeemedENG wins WC26@0.00expired144h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.43$1145h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50+$6145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.62$1145h
soldARG wins WC26@0.12+$0.50145h
boughtENG wins WC26@0.32$0.09145h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.20$0.94147h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$5149h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$0.09149h

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