ForetellerForeteller
7L
7Lkn…8yWBrank #193
cryptosports
score
51
Follow
-52%
ROI · 7d
-$1.2k
Profit · 7d
116
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$250 @ 0.20
Forecasting skill · all-time72 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
-13.7¢
Edge, worst case
-20.0¢
Closing line value
-6.1¢
sports 2 · 5 callsother 1 · 24 callscrypto 1 · 43 callssize-weighted edge -20.3¢sizing discipline -0.110% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$284
sports
+$70
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+9800% · +$151
Recent activity
soldENG wins WC26@0.50+$101144h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired156h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$9156h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired156h
boughtBTC Up@0.18$3157h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired157h
boughtBTC Up@0.38$3157h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$2157h
boughtBTC Up@0.11$2157h
boughtBTC Up@0.13$5157h

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