ForetellerForeteller
7U
7U5H…dXi7rank #342
othersportscrypto
score
49
Follow
-38%
ROI · 7d
-$1.7k
Profit · 7d
15
Markets
Performance · 7d15 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$1.5k @ 0.62
Forecasting skill · all-time14 scored calls
Forecast score
6
Avg edge / share
+0.8¢
Edge, worst case
-13.4¢
Closing line value
+8.1¢
sports 2 · 6 callsother 1 · 6 callssize-weighted edge -9.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$22
other
-$143
sports
-$1.6k
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+323% · +$142
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired168h
boughtBTC Up@0.38$55168h
boughtBTC Up@0.29$18169h
boughtBTC Up@0.39$25169h
boughtBTC Up@0.51$33169h
boughtBTC Up@0.57$300169h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$431169h
boughtBTC Up@0.42$43169h
boughtBTC Up@0.40$14169h
boughtBTC Up@0.28$19169h

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