ForetellerForeteller
7Y
7YFz…6rTkrank #19
cryptoothersports
score
56
Follow
+75%
ROI · 7d
$3
Profit · 7d
10
Markets
Performance · 7d10 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$1 @ 0.58
Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-50.0¢
Edge, worst case
-91.1¢
Closing line value
+0.0¢
size-weighted edge -50.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$4
sports
+$0.60
other
-$2
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+1068% · +$2
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1144h
redeemed@0.00expired144h
bought@0.06$0.88144h
redeemed@0.00expired147h
bought@0.50$0.83147h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$3160h
boughtBTC Up@0.09$0.22160h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired160h
boughtBTC Up@0.05$0.04160h
boughtBTC Up@0.15$0.09160h

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