ForetellerForeteller
7Z
7ZVx…RMAHrank #77
cryptosports
score
53
Follow
+194%
ROI · 7d
$333
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$234 @ 0.19
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-15.0¢
Edge, worst case
-45.8¢
Closing line value
-146.1¢
size-weighted edge -27.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$341
crypto
-$8
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
NOR wins WC26
+677% · +$364
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$70143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$33157h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired160h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$9160h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired161h
boughtBTC Up@0.08$4161h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$17161h
boughtBTC Up@0.65$11161h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.19$46161h
soldNOR wins WC26@0.50+$418215h

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