ForetellerForeteller
7A
7a5M…Jr7mrank #1102
cryptosports
score
27
Follow
-78%
ROI · 7d
-$168
Profit · 7d
11
Markets
Performance · 7d11 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time8 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-38.0¢
Edge, worst case
-63.1¢
Closing line value
-24.9¢
crypto 0 · 7 callssize-weighted edge -59.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$17
crypto
-$150
Current streak
11 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.58$0.68173h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$17176h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$9176h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$9176h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$12177h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired177h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$23177h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$7177h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$7177h

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