ForetellerForeteller
7B
7bGi…P3JGrank #25
cryptosports
score
55
Follow
+62%
ROI · 7d
$169
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d8 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-2.3¢
Edge, worst case
-56.8¢
Closing line value
+21.7¢
size-weighted edge -13.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$180
sports
+$34
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+802% · +$142
Recent activity
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$130264h
soldESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.27+$27264h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired277h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$59278h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$96280h
boughtESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.27$27280h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired300h
soldBTC Up@0.42+$12300h
soldBTC Up@0.30+$10300h
soldBTC Up@0.16+$6300h

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