ForetellerForeteller
7B
7bkW…5JiYrank #193
cryptosports
score
51
Follow
-40%
ROI · 7d
-$52
Profit · 7d
18
Markets
Performance · 7d18 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time9 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-18.8¢
Edge, worst case
-39.2¢
Closing line value
-1.6¢
crypto 0 · 9 callssize-weighted edge -25.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$4
crypto
-$57
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+305% · +$4
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$6146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.25$1147h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
boughtBTC Up@0.08$3199h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$12199h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
boughtBTC Up@0.03$4199h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$12199h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$4200h

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