ForetellerForeteller
7D
7dPa…zGEqrank #42
sports
score
54
Follow
+59%
ROI · 7d
$5
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$2 @ 0.70
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
16
Avg edge / share
+16.8¢
Edge, worst case
-8.5¢
Closing line value
-3.5¢
sports 16 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +25.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$5
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+129% · +$3
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$4143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$2156h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$5168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$2204h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.77$1263h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$1264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$1286h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$1287h

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