ForetellerForeteller
7K
7kL7…WepJrank #19
sports
score
56
Follow
+40%
ROI · 7d
$76
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$11 @ 0.62
Forecasting skill · all-time7 scored calls
Forecast score
88
Avg edge / share
+25.6¢
Edge, worst case
+10.1¢
Closing line value
+10.9¢
sports 88 · 7 callssize-weighted edge +23.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$76
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+145% · +$14
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$20143h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$23168h
redeemedAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.00expired218h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$9222h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$9223h
boughtAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.18$6223h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$82233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$15237h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$60247h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$65264h

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