ForetellerForeteller
7O
7oPM…arCe
crypto
score
48
Follow
-42%
ROI · 7d
-$61
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d2 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-22.9¢
Edge, worst case
-62.3¢
Closing line value
-55.8¢
size-weighted edge -19.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$61
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+1% · +$0.83
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired308h
boughtBTC Up@0.47$62308h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$83309h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$82309h

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