ForetellerForeteller
7O
7oow…DamTrank #432
crypto
score
48
Follow
-82%
ROI · 7d
-$205
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-37.7¢
Edge, worst case
-85.2¢
Closing line value
-22.5¢
crypto 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -65.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$205
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+188% · +$5
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired206h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$0.70207h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired207h
boughtBTC Up@0.60$23207h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$8207h
boughtBTC Up@0.35$3207h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired207h
boughtBTC Up@0.67$116207h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$36207h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$73207h

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