ForetellerForeteller
7U
7ufa…NqHD
sports
score
19
Follow
-100%
ROI · 7d
-$227
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$17.0k @ 0.19
Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-4.4¢
Edge, worst case
-45.5¢
Closing line value
-3.4¢
size-weighted edge -4.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$227
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
boughtESP wins WC26@0.21$182201h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.21$91203h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.20$91216h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.20$91228h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.21$1.8k239h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.17$91268h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.00expired288h
boughtFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.01$44288h
boughtFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.23$183298h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.19$196361h

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