ForetellerForeteller
84
84mH…FKnq
crypto
score
36
Follow
-39%
ROI · 7d
-$186
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
+17.0¢
Edge, worst case
-24.1¢
Closing line value
-82.0¢
size-weighted edge +17.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$186
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.50+$63217h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired217h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$125217h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$11217h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$0.08217h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$2217h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$6217h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$93217h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$1217h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$20217h

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