ForetellerForeteller
84
84sN…JQrcrank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
-4%
ROI · 7d
-$3
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-6.8¢
Edge, worst case
-58.9¢
Closing line value
-7.0¢
size-weighted edge +20.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$1
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)
+392% · +$4
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50+$56144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$51168h
soldFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.99+$54168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.63$35170h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.00expired217h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$27237h
soldNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.99+$28237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.90$26238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.38$2239h

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