ForetellerForeteller
85
85EL…Mcxvrank #1116
cryptoother
score
24
Follow
-67%
ROI · 7d
-$2.7k
Profit · 7d
44
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time32 scored calls
Forecast score
3
Avg edge / share
-2.7¢
Edge, worst case
-16.6¢
Closing line value
-14.4¢
crypto 2 · 31 callssize-weighted edge -14.3¢sizing discipline -0.2033% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$6.8k
other
-$18
Current streak
10 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+86% · +$27
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired150h
bought@0.99$20150h
bought@0.99$18150h
redeemed@0.00expired150h
bought@0.07$18150h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired157h
boughtBTC Up@0.52$9157h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired159h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.27159h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired160h

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