ForetellerForeteller
8D
8Duj…9GE4rank #623
cryptosports
score
46
Follow
-64%
ROI · 7d
-$102
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time12 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-19.6¢
Edge, worst case
-38.5¢
Closing line value
-18.9¢
crypto 0 · 11 callssize-weighted edge -30.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$18
crypto
-$84
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$15
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
boughtBTC Up@0.65$19199h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$31199h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$15199h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired213h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$37213h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$27213h
boughtBTC Up@0.72$19213h
redeemedArthur Fery wins WM26@0.00expired263h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired265h

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