ForetellerForeteller
8M
8Meo…vxLArank #951
cryptoothersports
score
40
Follow
-15%
ROI · 7d
-$3.5k
Profit · 7d
53
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$2.3k @ 0.20
Forecasting skill · all-time27 scored calls
Forecast score
13
Avg edge / share
+2.2¢
Edge, worst case
-9.7¢
Closing line value
-3.3¢
crypto 26 · 13 callsother 2 · 12 callssize-weighted edge -23.0¢sizing discipline -0.3175% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$10.4k
crypto
-$188
other
-$2.0k
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+153% · +$952
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.99+$8144h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.99+$1.7k145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.55$955145h
sold@0.92+$162148h
redeemed@0.00expired148h
bought@0.59$105148h
bought@0.12$56148h
redeemed@0.00expired148h
bought@0.64$137148h
sold@0.82+$326148h

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