ForetellerForeteller
8U
8UQT…EP5krank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
+33%
ROI · 7d
$20
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$51 @ 0.97
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
10
Avg edge / share
+8.4¢
Edge, worst case
-11.2¢
Closing line value
+7.7¢
sports 10 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +11.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$20
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+105% · +$21
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$41143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$20230h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$13233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$13264h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$12287h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.76$10287h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.39$10287h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$10287h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.80$10294h

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