ForetellerForeteller
8W
8Wq7…kpherank #193
cryptoothersports
score
51
Follow
+6%
ROI · 7d
$117
Profit · 7d
135
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$18 @ 0.55
NO
$7 @ 0.76
Forecasting skill · all-time69 scored calls
Forecast score
15
Avg edge / share
-0.5¢
Edge, worst case
-8.6¢
Closing line value
-9.6¢
crypto 13 · 51 callsother 1 · 14 callssize-weighted edge +4.5¢sizing discipline +0.0925% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$161
sports
+$53
other
+$47
Current streak
60 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+311% · +$16
Recent activity
bought@0.76$5142h
redeemed@1.00+$7142h
bought@0.68$5142h
sold@0.50+$7142h
bought@0.35$5142h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$120144h
redeemed@1.00+$4144h
bought@0.93$4144h
redeemed@1.00+$4145h
bought@0.95$4145h

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