ForetellerForeteller
8Y
8YFB…oeEo
sports
score
19
Follow
-100%
ROI · 7d
-$2.7k
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-19.2¢
Edge, worst case
-25.2¢
Closing line value
+6.3¢
size-weighted edge -21.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$2.7k
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.00expired288h
boughtFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.23$914316h
boughtFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.23$1.8k316h

Powered by Fortel