ForetellerForeteller
8Z
8ZRd…TF4Krank #623
crypto
score
46
Follow
-64%
ROI · 7d
-$74
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-0.3¢
Edge, worst case
-47.8¢
Closing line value
-16.1¢
size-weighted edge -23.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$0.15
crypto
-$74
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+52% · +$4
Recent activity
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$0.15147h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired165h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$25165h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$12165h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$12165h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired165h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$8165h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$12165h
boughtBTC Up@0.65$8166h
soldBTC Up@0.96+$9166h

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