ForetellerForeteller
8A
8ahd…zvGrrank #707
cryptoothersports
score
45
Follow
-21%
ROI · 7d
-$500
Profit · 7d
79
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$714 @ 0.70
Forecasting skill · all-time48 scored calls
Forecast score
17
Avg edge / share
+2.3¢
Edge, worst case
-7.9¢
Closing line value
-0.1¢
crypto 14 · 29 callsother 1 · 11 callssports 1 · 8 callssize-weighted edge +5.1¢sizing discipline +0.0475% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$240
crypto
+$229
other
-$10
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+191% · +$19
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.57$8148h
redeemed@0.00expired149h
bought@0.99$7149h
redeemed@1.00+$14149h
redeemed@0.00expired149h
bought@0.50$8149h
bought@0.70$10149h
redeemed@0.00expired149h
bought@0.69$2149h

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