ForetellerForeteller
8C
8cPQ…Lyex
crypto
score
2
Follow
-100%
ROI · 7d
-$997
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time14 scored calls
Forecast score
6
Avg edge / share
+7.4¢
Edge, worst case
-13.9¢
Closing line value
+4.9¢
crypto 6 · 13 callssize-weighted edge -21.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$997
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired325h
boughtBTC Up@0.63$134326h
boughtBTC Up@0.55$95326h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired326h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$178326h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired326h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$251326h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$18326h
boughtBTC Up@0.12$27326h
boughtBTC Up@0.29$91326h

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