ForetellerForeteller
8F
8fJ2…LZNArank #134
sportsothercrypto
score
52
Follow
-8%
ROI · 7d
-$2
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
26
Avg edge / share
+18.4¢
Edge, worst case
-5.2¢
Closing line value
+17.7¢
size-weighted edge +6.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
+$2
crypto
+$0.75
sports
-$4
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$0.75
Recent activity
redeemedMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@1.00+$5233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@0.70$4261h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.36$7261h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$7264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$5281h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$6287h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$2298h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.75298h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.78$5298h

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