ForetellerForeteller
8I
8iif…NbQqrank #342
cryptosports
score
49
Follow
-23%
ROI · 7d
-$31
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
71
Avg edge / share
+12.2¢
Edge, worst case
+4.4¢
Closing line value
+6.6¢
size-weighted edge +12.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$2
sports
-$33
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
ESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)
+33% · +$7
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.79$45146h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$27265h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.75$20267h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$11284h
boughtBTC Up@0.90$10284h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$20287h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$20287h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$21288h
boughtBTC Up@0.97$20288h

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