ForetellerForeteller
8J
8jmh…2y1Rrank #829
crypto
score
43
Follow
-65%
ROI · 7d
-$2.2k
Profit · 7d
33
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time31 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-20.1¢
Edge, worst case
-29.9¢
Closing line value
-12.2¢
crypto 0 · 31 callssize-weighted edge -34.6¢sizing discipline -0.3025% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$3.5k
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+641% · +$57
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired209h
boughtBTC Up@0.04$11209h
boughtBTC Up@0.07$9209h
boughtBTC Up@0.10$9209h
boughtBTC Up@0.10$9209h
boughtBTC Up@0.13$9209h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired210h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$42210h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired210h
boughtBTC Up@0.12$9210h

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