ForetellerForeteller
8K
8kZh…HCu7rank #261
cryptoother
score
50
Follow
-5%
ROI · 7d
-$8
Profit · 7d
20
Markets
Performance · 7d20 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time16 scored calls
Forecast score
3
Avg edge / share
+2.8¢
Edge, worst case
-17.1¢
Closing line value
-4.6¢
crypto 6 · 15 callssize-weighted edge +3.9¢sizing discipline +0.0433% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$0.88
other
-$7
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+233% · +$12
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired145h
bought@0.43$5145h
bought@0.56$5145h
redeemed@1.00+$5145h
bought@0.68$4145h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired171h
boughtBTC Up@0.56$7171h
soldBTC Up@0.01+$0.34193h
boughtBTC Up@0.64$15193h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$17195h

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