ForetellerForeteller
8O
8oK4…7dCSrank #1142
cryptoothersports
score
14
Follow
-88%
ROI · 7d
-$524
Profit · 7d
50
Markets
Performance · 7d50 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$12 @ 0.22
Forecasting skill · all-time26 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-54.6¢
Edge, worst case
-66.8¢
Closing line value
-42.0¢
crypto 0 · 24 callssize-weighted edge -64.0¢sizing discipline -0.13

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$3
other
-$125
crypto
-$396
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
+64% · +$2
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired144h
redeemed@0.00expired145h
bought@0.99$9145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.01$0.88145h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50+$9145h
sold@0.78+$5145h
bought@0.48$3145h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.22$3145h
sold@0.50+$2145h
bought@0.99$3145h

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