ForetellerForeteller
8S
8sz6…MBpxrank #42
sports
score
54
Follow
+51%
ROI · 7d
$4
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YES
$5 @ 0.62
YES
$7 @ 0.43
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
39
Avg edge / share
+18.4¢
Edge, worst case
-2.3¢
Closing line value
+1.4¢
sports 39 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +14.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$4
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+139% · +$0.87
Recent activity
bought@0.62$3142h
bought@0.43$3142h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$6143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$0.55166h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$1166h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$1168h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$0.94230h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.36$0.18261h

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