ForetellerForeteller
8W
8wER…HaLZ
othercrypto
score
37
Follow
-54%
ROI · 7d
-$303
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
+6.2¢
Edge, worst case
-50.5¢
Closing line value
+56.0¢
size-weighted edge -42.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$303
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired173h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$185173h
soldBTC Up@0.46+$133173h
boughtBTC Up@0.49$143173h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$56173h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$111173h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$70173h
boughtBTC Up@0.74$103173h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired173h
boughtBTC Up@0.31$18173h

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