ForetellerForeteller
8X
8xfT…UHXFrank #77
othersports
score
53
Follow
-21%
ROI · 7d
-$96
Profit · 7d
12
Markets
Performance · 7d12 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$260 @ 0.09
Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-14.5¢
Edge, worst case
-44.6¢
Closing line value
-14.5¢
size-weighted edge -14.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
+$12
sports
-$108
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
+100% · +$33
Recent activity
redeemed@1.00+$34141h
bought@0.50$17141h
redeemed@1.00+$20142h
bought@0.99$20142h
redeemed@0.00expired142h
bought@0.99$15142h
redeemed@0.00expired143h
bought@0.73$63143h
redeemed@1.00+$66143h
bought@0.50$33143h

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