ForetellerForeteller
93
93dg…9G68rank #1072
cryptosports
score
32
Follow
-46%
ROI · 7d
-$75
Profit · 7d
30
Markets
Performance · 7d32 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time27 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-7.8¢
Edge, worst case
-22.8¢
Closing line value
-5.7¢
crypto 1 · 23 callssize-weighted edge -13.5¢sizing discipline -0.13

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$8
crypto
-$69
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+322% · +$15
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.01+$0.20147h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.05$0.89147h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.96+$19147h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.23$5147h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired197h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4197h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired197h
boughtBTC Up@0.60$5197h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired197h
boughtBTC Up@0.90$4198h

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