ForetellerForeteller
95
95Bw…BQHkrank #532
cryptosports
score
47
Follow
-63%
ROI · 7d
-$94
Profit · 7d
21
Markets
Performance · 7d22 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time20 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-17.0¢
Edge, worst case
-35.6¢
Closing line value
-9.0¢
crypto 0 · 19 callssize-weighted edge -51.0¢sizing discipline -0.66

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$0.55
crypto
-$95
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+540% · +$10
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired280h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$13280h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$7280h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired283h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$9283h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$16283h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired285h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$0.93285h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$12285h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$12285h

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