ForetellerForeteller
95
95ni…auKh
crypto
score
19
Follow
-100%
ROI · 7d
-$588
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
+16.6¢
Edge, worst case
-24.5¢
Closing line value
+15.1¢
size-weighted edge +16.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$588
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired219h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired219h
boughtBTC Up@0.76$300219h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$5219h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$33219h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$11219h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$18219h
boughtBTC Up@0.59$26219h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$195219h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired219h

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