ForetellerForeteller
9B
9Bmg…3NbZrank #623
cryptosportsother
score
46
Follow
0%
ROI · 7d
-$1
Profit · 7d
15
Markets
Performance · 7d15 settled
Open positions
YES
$395 @ 0.65
Forecasting skill · all-time13 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-17.2¢
Edge, worst case
-41.2¢
Closing line value
-13.2¢
crypto 0 · 8 callssize-weighted edge -12.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$139
other
-$9
crypto
-$131
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+145% · +$62
Recent activity
bought@0.65$256143h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$256144h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired167h
boughtBTC Up@0.49$100167h
soldESP wins WC26@0.58+$477168h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$104169h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired191h
boughtBTC Up@0.79$10192h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$9192h
boughtBTC Up@0.88$1192h

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