ForetellerForeteller
9D
9Dxq…UvvY
other
score
28
Follow
-67%
ROI · 7d
-$95
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-89.3¢
Edge, worst case
-130.5¢
Closing line value
-39.3¢
size-weighted edge -89.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$95
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired166h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$7166h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$3166h
soldBTC Up@0.81+$36166h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$85166h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$12166h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$23166h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$12166h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$1166h
boughtBTC Up@0.57$11166h

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