ForetellerForeteller
9J
9JAM…FR6trank #134
sportscryptoother
score
52
Follow
+23%
ROI · 7d
$13
Profit · 7d
11
Markets
Performance · 7d11 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$15 @ 0.66
YESARG wins WC26
$39 @ 0.19
Forecasting skill · all-time13 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-2.4¢
Edge, worst case
-22.4¢
Closing line value
+1.0¢
sports 16 · 7 callscrypto 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +3.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$13
other
+$1
crypto
-$1
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+139% · +$7
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$13143h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$11168h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired215h
boughtBTC Up@0.69$3215h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$6215h
boughtBTC Up@0.75$5215h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$6217h
redeemedJannik Sinner wins WM26@1.00+$12218h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.83$5222h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.82$5226h

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