ForetellerForeteller
9K
9KbJ…Vz1Urank #1072
cryptoother
score
32
Follow
-62%
ROI · 7d
-$1.1k
Profit · 7d
34
Markets
Performance · 7d46 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time27 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-29.3¢
Edge, worst case
-44.4¢
Closing line value
-14.4¢
other 0 · 7 callscrypto 0 · 20 callssize-weighted edge -39.3¢sizing discipline -0.170% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$759
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+83% · +$17
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired167h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$35167h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired167h
boughtBTC Up@0.46$22168h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$28168h
boughtBTC Up@0.78$43168h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$25168h
boughtBTC Up@0.04$2168h
soldBTC Up@0.32+$17168h
boughtBTC Up@0.47$9168h

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