ForetellerForeteller
9L
9LUN…RvRurank #134
cryptoother
score
52
Follow
-45%
ROI · 7d
-$32
Profit · 7d
20
Markets
Performance · 7d20 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time15 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-7.2¢
Edge, worst case
-32.5¢
Closing line value
-14.3¢
crypto 0 · 13 callssize-weighted edge -44.4¢sizing discipline -0.68

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$32
Current streak
4 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$5
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.03163h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.02163h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.14163h
boughtBTC Up@0.87$0.12163h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.20163h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.10163h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.20168h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.10168h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired170h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.82170h

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