ForetellerForeteller
9N
9Nqi…GwdDrank #42
cryptosportsother
score
54
Follow
-21%
ROI · 7d
-$17
Profit · 7d
22
Markets
Performance · 7d22 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time20 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
-2.1¢
Edge, worst case
-20.5¢
Closing line value
-10.0¢
crypto 1 · 15 callssize-weighted edge -24.4¢sizing discipline -0.51

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$2
sports
-$7
crypto
-$9
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+9900% · +$2
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$0.95205h
redeemedETH Up@0.00expired206h
boughtETH Up@0.25$0.92206h
redeemedETH Up@0.00expired206h
boughtETH Up@0.03$0.89206h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$11206h
redeemedETH Up@1.00+$13206h
boughtETH Up@0.29$4206h
redeemedXRP Up@0.00expired207h

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