ForetellerForeteller
9T
9Tfp…FUhcrank #134
cryptoother
score
52
Follow
-79%
ROI · 7d
-$467
Profit · 7d
57
Markets
Performance · 7d57 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time32 scored calls
Forecast score
6
Avg edge / share
-2.4¢
Edge, worst case
-14.0¢
Closing line value
-3.0¢
crypto 8 · 26 callsother 0 · 6 callssize-weighted edge -44.8¢sizing discipline -0.23

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$65
crypto
-$402
Current streak
10 losss
in a row
Best call
+3862% · +$34
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired146h
bought@0.99$7146h
redeemed@0.00expired146h
bought@0.01$2146h
bought@0.99$9146h
redeemed@0.00expired146h
bought@0.50$29146h
sold@0.50+$3146h
bought@0.99$7146h
redeemed@0.00expired146h

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