ForetellerForeteller
9W
9WL2…6MaNrank #19
other
score
56
Follow
-2%
ROI · 7d
-$7
Profit · 7d
13
Markets
Performance · 7d14 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
100
Avg edge / share
+50.0¢
Edge, worst case
+50.0¢
Closing line value
+24.5¢
size-weighted edge +50.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$0.02
crypto
-$7
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+185% · +$61
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired158h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$27158h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46+$2158h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired158h
boughtBTC Up@0.77$96158h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$96158h
boughtBTC Up@0.78$75158h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$94158h
boughtBTC Up@0.97$92158h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$11158h

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