ForetellerForeteller
9Z
9ZU8…o9xJ
crypto
score
22
Follow
-89%
ROI · 7d
-$132
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-49.1¢
Edge, worst case
-90.3¢
Closing line value
-37.6¢
size-weighted edge -49.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$132
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired179h
boughtBTC Up@0.17$4179h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$0.05179h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$1179h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$17179h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$131179h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$11179h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$2179h

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