ForetellerForeteller
9E
9e5n…1wAD
sportsother
score
45
Follow
-89%
ROI · 7d
-$4.3k
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-16.4¢
Edge, worst case
-42.3¢
Closing line value
-16.3¢
size-weighted edge -28.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$499
sports
-$1.3k
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedConor McGregor beats Max Holloway@0.00expired234h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.35$465243h
soldARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.74+$518243h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.35$759243h
boughtConor McGregor beats Max Holloway@0.29$499243h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$527243h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.35$853244h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.36$1.7k244h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$1.3k265h

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