ForetellerForeteller
9F
9fPM…tSzYrank #25
sports
score
55
Follow
+25%
ROI · 7d
$4
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$3 @ 0.99
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
91
Avg edge / share
+23.6¢
Edge, worst case
+11.3¢
Closing line value
+6.3¢
sports 91 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +19.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$4
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+139% · +$3
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$2143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.94$2144h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.23+$0.96145h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$4168h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$2217h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$3233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$3237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.91$3237h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.42$2263h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$4264h

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